Research-Studie


Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG

Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE

Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101

Anlass der Studie: Managementinterview
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann

14/06/2022 - Management interview with Media and Games Invest SE

'We expect to continue to grow in 2022 and to benefit from the market
changes in the media sector. With the additional liquidity from the recent
bond issue, we are also excellently equipped with capital to benefit from
the current market in the M&A area.'

Media and Games Invest SE (MG) is an advertising software platform (ad tech
platform) with extensive first-party data from its own games content. The
regional focus of the Group's business activities is North America and
Europe. The company combines organic growth with value-enhancing
synergistic acquisitions, which has resulted in an average growth rate of
77.0% (CAGR between 2018-2021).

Late last week, the technology company announced the successful placement
of a new EUR175 million senior secured bond at 98.0% of par with a floating
rate coupon of EURIBOR+6.25% and, in parallel, the repurchase of a EUR115
million senior secured bond.

Against this background, we took the opportunity to interview Paul Echt,
CFO of the MGI Group, about the latest capital raising, the business model
and the prospects of the company.

GBC AG: Mr. Echt, MGI was able to place a new bond despite the current
tense market environment - especially for growth and tech companies like
you. What were the reasons for this step?

Paul Echt: We have no specific capital needs as we have both strong free
cash flow and sufficient cash of well over EUR 100 million. Nevertheless,
the motivation was to raise additional funds now in order to be able to
realize more M&A opportunities in the coming quarters, especially as
purchase prices have fallen sharply due to the market environment and -
should there be an economic downturn - are expected to fall further. In
this sense, we are acting with foresight and from a strong position.

For our M&A strategy, this means that we are now positioned for the coming
months in such a way that we can easily make smaller to medium-sized
upfront payments with the cash we have on hand. Vendor loans and earn-outs
(where a portion of the purchase price is paid at a later date based on
performance) only become payable in cash or shares further down the line.
This means that we can use existing cash to make acquisitions, utilizing
modest level of cash at the time, whilst reducing near term liquidity risk
and spreading the risk of equity dilution to shareholders.

We also think that with a strong cash position, it is always easier to
discuss potential high-value M&A deals, as sellers want to know, at least
in theory, whether the buyers will be able to pay the purchase price, even
if part of it is deferred, which is becoming more relevant for sellers
especially in the current market environment.

This strategy as well as our M&A track record is generating strong investor
interest, which is why the placement was so successful, and why we decided
to increase the volume from the originally planned EUR 125 million to EUR
175 million.

GBC AG: Mr. Echt, what is your overall conclusion for this transaction,
especially in light of the fact that the interest coupon is 0.5% above that
of the existing bond?

Paul Echt: The fact that the interest coupon is higher than on our existing
bond, which we initially placed at 98% below par with a coupon of 5.75%,
reflects the changed market environment and the new reality in which we
find ourselves, in which money costs more. We have to to adapt to this
mentally and strategically, because inflation and rising interest rates
will not disappear that quickly. Against this background, we rate the
placement in the current market environment at a coupon of 6.25% p.a. at
98% below par, i.e. 0.5% p.a. higher than in the original bond, as a strong
outcome.

Note that we used around EUR 115 million of the EUR 175 million to
refinance parts of our existing bond, with many investors rolling over from
our 'old' bond to the new bond, with a longer maturity, thus achieving
further diversification of the maturities of our bonds, reducing the
refinancing risk. We thus reduced the amount that has to be refinanced at
the end of 2024 from EUR 350 million to EUR 235 million. We have also done
this against the background of it being impossible to predict how financial
markets will develop and how long a possible crisis will last. The EUR 235
million can now be covered by our own cash flow and cash resources and
reduces the overall risk profile of the company, which is positive for all
our investors.

GBC AG: MGI has developed from a pure games company to an advertising
software company with its own games. Could you explain again what exactly
the business model looks like now and where the investment focus will be in
the coming years?

Paul Echt: Over the past few years, MGI has developed into a fast-growing
advertising software platform that helps its customers acquire new users
and monetize their advertising space. With our currently more than 450
software clients, 93% of our revenues is predominantly concentrated on the
so-called 'supply side'. This primarily includes mobile game companies such
as King or Zynga, which use our software to monetize their advertising
space in the games. In addition, with our extensive games portfolio, which
also includes the recent acquisition of mobile games developer
'AxesInMotion', we have a very large number of our own advertising spaces
as well as high-quality user data. This makes us very interesting for
advertisers. Against this background, we now want to invest more in the so-
called 'demand side', which currently accounts for only 7% of Group
revenues. This means that we want to build more direct relationships with
advertisers and agencies who place ads via our own campaign management tool
(a demand side platform). This in turn would mean that we would rely less
on third party demand side platforms such as Trade Desk that bid on our
supply from our own ad spaces and other companies such as as Zynga or King,
so that we can again significantly increase our margin as we represent an
even larger part of the value chain. To achieve this, we hired
significantly more sales staff in the first quarter, particularly in the
USA. The aim is to establish even more direct customer relationships with
major advertisers in the USA. At the same time, we also want to invest more
in demand-side platforms in order to buy direct customer contracts with
major advertisers via M&A, where we can then realize very strong synergies
with our existing supply side. Of course, the recent bond issue will also
help us finance this strategy.

GBC AG: In view of the uncertainties regarding an ongoing Corona pandemic,
the expansion of the Ukraine war and a further intensification of
inflation, there is a risk of a significant cooling of the global economy
or even recessionary developments. How stable or robust do you consider
your industry and your business model to be in the event of a recession?

Paul Echt: If you look at all the indicators, from our point of view there
is a chance of a recession. If that's the case, it's likely that
advertisers' media budgets will also be affected, because companies can
make relatively quick and flexible cuts in this area. This was seen, for
example, in the second quarter of 2020, when Covid significantly impacted
the advertising budgets of some companies from particularly hard-hit
industries.

While a recession could have a negative impact on advertising budgets, one
could expect the games industry to again show itself to be very resilient
and benefit from it. This could be seen not only during Corona, but also in
other financial crises such as 2008. The reason for this is simple; when
people have more leisure time and, at the same time, less money at their
disposal, they look for comparatively cheap leisure activities and most
games are usually much cheaper than an evening in a restaurant, at the
theater or at a concert.

Since, in addition to our revenues from our own games, approximately 70% of
our advertising software revenues are derived from digital games and
entertainment customers, we have, in our view, a relatively resilient
business model compared to other companies in the advertising sector that
are less focused on games and entertainment and do not have their own games
business. In addition, we expect the trend of spending of advertising
budgets on programmatic advertising - at the expense of more traditional
forms of advertising - to accelerate further.

However, it is not yet possible to realistically assess what effect a
prolonged recession will have on our media business. It is possible that
this business will grow somewhat less strongly, but we will aim to
compensate for this with investments, especially in the area of data.

GBC AG: Recently, the MGI Group has again recorded a strong opening quarter
in the current fiscal year 2022. What can investors expect from your
company in the current fiscal year? What guidance have you given yourself?

Paul Echt: We expect to continue to grow in 2022 and to benefit from the
market changes in the media sector - deprecating identifiers and cookies.
Even in light of a possible recession, we have not revised our growth
targets downward in our quarterly report but remain positive about the rest
of the year for the reasons already mentioned. We want to increase revenue
by between 17 and 25% to between 295 and 315 million euros and raise EBITDA
by between 17 and 31% to between 83 and 93 million euros. We were able to
top the revenue target in Q1 2022. Revenue growth was 27% and adjusted
EBITDA improved by 30%, driven by organic growth. We also acquired the
highly profitable AxesInMotion in April. Further M&A transactions are not
included in our outlook for the full year.

GBC: Thank you very much for the interview.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24413.pdf

Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Date (time) of completion: 14/06/2022 (14:41 pm)
Date (time) of first distribution: 14/06/2022 (15:20 pm)

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